Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2024-02 to 2024-08
Replay 126 daily bars of heating oil from February to August 2024, when a Middle East war premium lifted crude-linked energy markets. Step through 22 decision points in this simulated, educational scenario and receive an AI coach review of every call.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2024-02 to 2024-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 21.0% and a 14.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −21.0%
- Max run-up
- +14.8%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.7%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Heating oil futures in the US energy complex faced a volatile six months from February to August 2024, as escalating Middle East tensions introduced a war premium into crude-linked markets. The 126 daily bars spanning this period created a demanding training ground, presenting traders with 22 decision points—8 of which proved critical to navigating the landscape. Understanding how geopolitical risk reshapes energy markets was the central challenge of this scenario.
The closing price moved from 2.9 to 2.39, reflecting a net decline of -17.6% over the full span. Beneath that headline figure lay considerable turbulence: a maximum drawdown of 21.0% tested risk discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 3.7% underscored how quickly sentiment could shift on headlines and supply concerns. The trajectory was not a straight line but a series of sharp reversals that rewarded—or punished—position sizing and timing decisions.
This replay emphasizes that geopolitical events create asymmetric conditions where news flow can override traditional technical signals. Decision training here centers on process: maintaining consistent position sizing under stress, respecting drawdown limits rather than chasing losses, and recognizing when volatility itself becomes the primary market driver. The 8 critical points in this scenario serve as focal moments to examine whether emotional reactions or systematic rules governed each call.
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