RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2022-11 to 2023-05
Replay 124 daily bars of RBOB gasoline from 2022-11-15 to 2023-05-15, capturing a 19.3% drawdown and 9.9% single-bar spike. You step through the timeline, make 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in a simulated educational environment.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2022-11 to 2023-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.3% and a 40.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.3%
- Max run-up
- +40.0%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +9.9%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
RBOB gasoline futures represent one of the most closely watched energy benchmarks in the United States, tracking the price of unleaded gasoline before it reaches retail pumps. The period from November 15, 2022 to May 15, 2023 unfolded against a backdrop of post-pandemic energy market distortions, shifting OPEC+ production decisions, and evolving demand expectations as the global economy adjusted to new patterns. Participants in this replay confront 124 daily bars of authentic price action, needing to process information flows while managing directional exposure in a notoriously volatile commodity. The stakes include understanding how to position around supply disruptions, seasonal demand cycles, and the psychological pressure of sudden moves in a market that can reverse violently.
The six-month span delivered a net decline of just 2.0%, with prices moving from 2.52 to 2.47 per gallon. That modest headline number conceals considerably more turbulence beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown reached 19.3%, meaning a position entered at the wrong moment could have suffered severe unrealized losses before recovering. The largest single-bar move of 9.9% underscores how quickly sentiment can shift on inventory reports, refinery outages, or broader risk-off moves in energy markets. Across the timeline, 21 decision points arise, with 7 designated as critical moments where positioning choices carry amplified consequences for the simulated portfolio.
This replay strips away the comfort of hindsight to test how traders actually respond under uncertainty. The 19.3% drawdown forces confrontation with position sizing and stop-discipline questions that look obvious in theory but become agonizing in real time. The 9.9% single-bar spike tests emotional regulation: does the participant chase momentum, fade the move, or wait for confirmation? By working through 21 distinct judgment calls without knowing the outcome in advance, trainees develop the pattern recognition and risk calibration that distinguish experienced operators from novices. The educational value lies not in predicting the next crash but in building the decision-making process that survives volatility intact.