Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2022-11 to 2023-05
Replay 124 days of natural gas history, from 2022-11 to 2023-05, as a single -60.5% crash to 2.38. Decide at 7 critical points, get AI coach feedback on every move. Simulated capital only, purely educational.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2022-11 to 2023-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 72.8% and a 45.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −72.8%
- Max run-up
- +45.4%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −14.6%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The natural gas market in late 2022 presented one of its most turbulent chapters. From November 15, 2022 to May 15, 2023 — 124 trading days — players faced a commodity in freefall, with prices plummeting from 6.03 as supply dynamics shifted and demand patterns softened. This wasn't a brief correction but a sustained -60.5% decline that tested every assumption about energy markets.
What unfolded was a crash of historic proportions. The price ultimately cratered to 2.38, with a maximum drawdown of 72.8% testing even the most defensive positions. Volatility was extreme, with the largest single session move reaching 14.6%. Throughout the period, traders encountered 21 decision points, of which 7 were critical junctures where positioning decisions would dramatically alter outcomes.
For decision training, this replay exposes how institutional assumptions become liabilities during sustained crashes. Participants must confront confirmation bias as positions deteriorate, practice dynamic risk management under drawdown pressure, and master the psychological challenge of distinguishing value opportunities from falling knives. The 7 critical moments strip away the comfort of hindsight, forcing real-time judgment under uncertainty — the core skill this market history was designed to build.