RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2021-10 to 2022-01
Replay 64 daily bars of RBOB gasoline from October 2021 through January 2022, navigating a 22.6% drawdown amid regulation-driven volatility. Make decisions at 11 branching points, review each choice with an AI coach, and learn from this simulated historical market replay.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-10 to 2022-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.6% and a 26.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.6%
- Max run-up
- +26.2%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.5%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
RBOB gasoline entered the final quarter of 2021 facing a complex backdrop of post-pandemic demand shifts and escalating regulatory pressure on energy markets. The 64-trading-day window from October 22, 2021 through January 24, 2022 placed participants directly inside a period when policy interventions were reshaping commodity dynamics. Navigating this landscape meant confronting sudden regulatory signals that could reverse sentiment within a single session, making disciplined decision-making essential to surviving the volatility ahead.
The replay delivered on its promise of turbulence. Prices ultimately closed the period at 2.4, representing a modest -3.2% net decline from the 2.48 opening level. However, this headline figure obscured a far more volatile journey: the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 22.6% at its worst point, while the largest single-bar move reached 12.5%. For participants, the gap between the tranquil entry price and the violent intraperiod swings defined the core challenge of this scenario.
This replay sharpens decision training by forcing confrontation with regime uncertainty under regulation-driven volatility. The 11 decision points—including 4 critical junctures—tested whether traders could maintain process discipline when headlines contradicted price action. Managing risk through a 22.6% drawdown requires sizing discipline and emotional equilibrium that pure technical analysis cannot provide. The lesson: survival in regulatory-driven markets depends as much on psychological resilience and predefined rules as on reading the data correctly.
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