Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2021-10 to 2022-01
Replay 64 daily bars of heating oil from 2021-10-22 to 2022-01-24, navigating a 20.2% drawdown under tightening regulation. Make decisions at 11 points, including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-10 to 2022-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.2% and a 30.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.2%
- Max run-up
- +30.6%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.2%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Heating oil entered a turbulent phase in late 2021 as regulatory pressure on China's energy complex intensified. From October 22, 2021 through January 24, 2022, market participants faced a demanding 64 trading day window navigating policy-driven volatility in the commodities sector. The core challenge was maintaining strategic composure while regulatory uncertainty created sharp intraday swings and extended drawdowns.
The period delivered a modest net result of 3.5% (from 2.54 to 2.63) despite far more dramatic interim moves. The maximum drawdown reached 20.2%, while the largest single-bar move hit 12.2%, creating conditions where positional management became critical. With 11 decision points scattered across the replay, including 4 critical junctures, participants were forced to repeatedly reassess exposure and conviction under shifting regulatory signals.
This replay teaches that process discipline matters more than directional accuracy in high-volatility regulatory environments. Managing the 20.2% drawdown required pre-defined risk parameters, not reactive adjustments. The 12.2% single-bar spikes tested emotional control, reminding traders that volatility itself can become a behavioral trap. The 4 critical decision points serve as training anchors, forcing deliberate choices rather than passive holding. For decision training, the lesson is clear: regulation-driven markets punish improvisation and reward systematic preparation.
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