Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2021-10 to 2022-01
Replay 64 daily bars of the 2021-22 natural gas energy crisis, where prices fell 23.7% and volatility spiked with a 14.4% single-bar swing. Step through each decision point day-by-day and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-10 to 2022-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 42.6% and a 36.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −42.6%
- Max run-up
- +36.5%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- +14.4%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US natural gas market entered a defining moment in late 2021 as an energy crisis gripped global markets. From October 22, 2021 through January 24, 2022, 64 daily bars captured a period of extraordinary volatility in the commodities and energy sector. Participants faced the challenge of navigating a commodity shock with 11 decision points, 4 of which proved critical to outcomes. The stakes were high: balancing exposure to a surging volatility environment while managing tail risk in one of the most unpredictable markets.
What unfolded over those months was a dramatic reversal. Natural gas prices closed the period at 4.03, down from an opening near 5.28, representing a decline of 23.7%. The journey was anything but linear. Maximum drawdown reached 42.6%, meaning peak-to-trough losses far exceeded the final percentage decline. The largest single-bar move of 14.4% underscored the intraday turbulence that could wipe out positions or deliver sudden opportunities with little warning.
This replay teaches that process discipline matters more than directional conviction in volatile commodity markets. Traders must build frameworks robust enough to withstand a 42.6% drawdown without abandoning strategy, while remaining flexible enough to adapt when 14.4% single-day swings occur. The psychological dimension is equally demanding: staying rational when 4 critical decision points demand decisive action separates skilled practitioners from impulsive ones. Use this scenario to stress-test your risk management and emotional composure under authentic historical pressure.
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