Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2020-05
Replay 42 turbulent daily bars of heating oil from March 17 to May 14, 2020, when prices plunged 14.4% amid extreme volatility. Walk through 8 decision points, including 3 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your choices in a fully simulated environment.
42 daily bars · 8 decision points · 2020-03 to 2020-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 58 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 44.5% and a 47.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −44.5%
- Max run-up
- +47.5%
- Duration
- 58 days
- Largest single-day move
- −18.0%
- Bars
- 42 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 8
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Heating oil is a critical energy commodity with significant seasonal demand patterns tied to winter consumption and broader industrial activity. The period from March to May 2020 placed traders in one of the most challenging energy market environments in recent history, as pandemic-related lockdowns decimated demand while storage capacity neared collapse. What was at stake was not merely profit or loss but survival in a market where traditional relationships broke down and volatility became the dominant feature.
The replay spans 42 daily bars from March 17 to May 14, 2020. Over this period, prices fell from 1.04 to 0.89, representing a decline of -14.4%. Yet this headline figure obscures the turbulence beneath the surface: maximum drawdown reached 44.5%, and the largest single-bar move was 18.0%. The market presented 8 decision points, including 3 critical junctures where positioning and risk management made the difference between staying in the game and being forced out.
This scenario demands traders confront the full spectrum of decision-making under pressure: sizing positions when volatility spikes, managing margin during extended drawdowns, and maintaining emotional equilibrium when every bar feels like a potential turning point. The 44.5% drawdown forces participants to question their risk parameters, while the 18.0% single-bar moves test conviction and discipline. Completing this replay builds the psychological resilience and systematic rigor necessary to navigate markets where conventional assumptions no longer apply.
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