WTI Crude Oil Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay the 2018 WTI crude oil swing from July to October across 64 daily bars, marked by a 12.3% drawdown. You step through each session, face 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated, educational setting.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.3% and a 17.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.3%
- Max run-up
- +17.5%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.0%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The WTI crude oil market entered the summer of 2018 as a study in contradictions. Prices hovered near multi-year highs while geopolitical tensions and shifting supply dynamics created an environment of heightened uncertainty. This replay spans 64 daily bars from July 9 to October 5, 2018, placing traders in the middle of a period where a seemingly stable market could swing sharply without warning. Participants face 11 decision points, four of them critical junctures that demand clear strategic thinking rather than reactive trading.
The data reveals a market that delivered substantial volatility while producing minimal net advancement. The close shifted only 0.7% from 73.85 to 74.34, yet participants navigated a 12.3% maximum drawdown and endured a single session that moved 5.0%. Those who chased momentum into each surge likely found themselves caught on the wrong side when the market reversed. The contrast between tiny net change and violent intermediate swings is the defining characteristic of this era, turning what appeared straightforward into a test of discipline.
This scenario exposes how historical context reshapes risk perception. The compressed timeframe amplifies psychological pressure, making emotional regulation as essential as analytical skill. Participants must learn to maintain conviction through drawdown without abandoning sound risk parameters, and to recognize when a critical decision point offers an opportunity to act with discipline rather than panic. The lesson is not about predicting direction but about building process that survives volatility while preserving capital for the next opportunity.