RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2018-08 to 2018-11
Replay a brutal 66-day stretch as RBOB gasoline futures fell from 2.07 to 1.39, a 32.9% slide. Make daily decisions through 12 historic decision points, then review your choices with an AI coach in a simulated educational environment.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-08 to 2018-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 35.0% and a 9.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −35.0%
- Max run-up
- +9.7%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.9%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The summer of 2018 brought an unexpected test for energy traders as emerging market turmoil rippled through commodity markets. RBOB gasoline futures, a key refined product benchmark, faced mounting pressure as global growth concerns and currency weakness in developing economies darkened the demand outlook. This 66-day historical stretch represents a concentrated stress test for anyone studying how crisis conditions reshape energy markets and punish misplaced conviction.
Between August 22 and November 23, 2018, RBOB gasoline collapsed from 2.07 to 1.39, a brutal 32.9% decline that dwarfed typical daily swings. The maximum drawdown reached 35.0%, meaning any trader buying during this period endured severe unrealized losses. What made this period particularly treacherous was the volatility—individual sessions saw moves of up to 7.9%, creating an environment where stop-losses were frequently executed at the worst possible moments. Navigating this landscape required facing 12 distinct decision points, four of which proved critical inflection moments.
This replay teaches that process matters more than prediction during crisis periods. The 32.9% slide unfolded in waves, offering opportunities for both catastrophic errors and disciplined responses. Risk management becomes the difference between survival and blowup when drawdowns approach 35.0%. The psychological dimension—maintaining composure through 7.9% single-day swings while others panic—separates trained decision-makers from impulsive traders. Studying this period builds experience with volatility dynamics that cannot be replicated through theory alone.