Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay 64 daily bars of the 2018 heating oil market across a 7.7% drawdown and 5.4% single-day swing. Step into each trading day, face 11 decision points with AI coach review of your choices, all on simulated capital.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.7% and a 19.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.7%
- Max run-up
- +19.0%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.4%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The summer of 2018 presented energy traders with a formidable challenge as heating oil markets absorbed the spillover from emerging-market instability. This historical replay spans 64 daily bars between July 9 and October 5, 2018, capturing a market caught between supply uncertainties and shifting demand expectations. For commodities traders, the period tested the ability to maintain conviction while absorbing drawdowns that could shake lesser-prepared positions.
The closing price advanced from 2.2 to 2.39, delivering an 8.6% return over the full span. Yet the journey proved turbulent, with a maximum drawdown of 7.7% testing risk tolerance along the way. The most extreme single session brought a 5.4% swing, reminding participants that intraday volatility can rapidly alter unrealized P&L and force uncomfortable margin decisions.
This scenario offers 11 decision points, 4 of them critical junctures where directional choices carried heightened consequence. The combination of a final positive outcome against significant interim setbacks creates an ideal training ground for developing disciplined processes, calibrating risk exposure, and building psychological resilience. Navigating the gap between an initial drawdown and eventual recovery teaches patience and position management that pure directional calls cannot.