Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2018-08 to 2018-11
Replay 66 daily bars of 2018 heating oil as prices fell 13.4% into a 23.0% drawdown. You step through each session, face 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-08 to 2018-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.0% and a 12.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.0%
- Max run-up
- +12.4%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.8%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer and fall of 2018, the heating oil market navigated a challenging environment as emerging market economies faced mounting financial stress. Currency crises in several developing nations sparked broad commodity weakness, pressuring refined fuel products including heating oil. This replay places you at the center of that uncertainty from August 22, 2018, asking how you would manage exposure through a sustained downturn in energy markets.
Over the 66 daily bars spanning August 22 to November 23, 2018, heating oil prices fell from 2.17 to 1.88, a decline of 13.4%. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 23.0% during this period, with the largest single session move reaching 4.8%. Participants faced 12 decision points across the replay, including 4 critical moments that demanded clear strategic responses to shifting market conditions.
This replay sharpens decision-making under sustained pressure, testing your ability to manage risk when prices grind lower over weeks and months. You will confront the challenge of distinguishing temporary dips from deeper structural weakness, deciding when to add, reduce, or exit positions. The psychological dimension looms large: maintaining discipline when facing a 23.0% drawdown tests the composure every market participant must cultivate. Use this historical episode to refine your process, not to chase predictions about future moves.