WTI Crude Oil Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08
Replay 128 daily bars of WTI crude oil from February to August 2018 as oil climbed 13.1% amid policy-driven volatility. Make your own decisions at 22 points, then receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.4% and a 25.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.4%
- Max run-up
- +25.3%
- Duration
- 183 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.0%
- Bars
- 128 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2018, WTI crude oil occupied center stage in global commodity markets as traders navigated a landscape shaped by geopolitical tensions, OPEC supply decisions, and shifting US energy policy. The replay spans 128 daily bars from February 12 to August 14, 2018—a period when oil prices held implications for everything from inflation expectations to equity valuations. Participants face the challenge of navigating policy-driven volatility in one of the world's most consequential commodity markets.
Oil's trajectory during these months proved instructive. Prices climbed from 59.29 to 67.04, representing a gain of 13.1%. Yet the path was marked by turbulence: the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 10.4% and navigated the decade's largest single-bar move of 5.0%. These statistics underscore that profitable outcomes rarely arrive smoothly—each advance carries embedded risk that demands active management.
This scenario offers a laboratory for three essential trading disciplines: risk management, process adherence, and psychological resilience. Confronting 22 decision points—eight of them critical—participants must balance analytical assessment with emotional discipline. The 2010s decade reminds us that policy uncertainty creates both opportunity and peril. Effective decision training means learning to stay composed when drawdowns materialize, to follow a defined process when volatility spikes, and to avoid reactive decisions driven by fear or euphoria.