Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08
Replay heating oil across 128 daily bars from February to August 2018, watching the 15.8% climb through shifting policy headlines. Step into 22 decision points, including 8 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.5% and a 24.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.5%
- Max run-up
- +24.5%
- Duration
- 183 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.4%
- Bars
- 128 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Heating oil, a vital US energy commodity, entered a six-month policy-sensitive period from February to August 2018. The market backdrop combined shifting regulatory discussions, seasonal demand cycles, and supply dynamics that kept participants on edge. Every trade carried weight as the 2010s energy landscape grappled with evolving policy signals that could swing prices in either direction.
Across 128 daily bars from February 12 to August 14, 2018, heating oil climbed from 1.84 to 2.13, delivering a 15.8% return. The path was anything but smooth, featuring a maximum drawdown of 10.5% and a largest single-bar move of 5.4% that tested even seasoned participants. Navigating this terrain meant confronting 22 distinct decision points, with 8 critical junctures where conviction and process faced their true examination.
This replay teaches that policy-driven markets demand both structure and flexibility. The 10.5% drawdown reminds us that even favorable trends punish impatience or overconfidence. The 5.4% single-session swings show how headlines can override fundamentals in the short term, making position sizing and emotional control essential. For decision training, the scenario hones the ability to distinguish signal from noise, stick to a process through volatility, and manage risk without second-guessing. Completing the 22 decision points builds the psychological resilience needed when the next unexpected policy headline strikes.