Cocoa Historical Replay: 2014-10 to 2015-04
Replay cocoa's slide from 3086 to 2799 across 122 daily bars ending April 2015, navigating a 14.4% drawdown. Step through each session, make 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your risk calls in this simulated educational replay.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-10 to 2015-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.4% and a 16.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.4%
- Max run-up
- +16.1%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.3%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa futures entered a turbulent phase in the 2010s, a decade when commodity markets increasingly responded to shifting global supply and demand dynamics. The replay covers October 2014 through April 2015, a period when cocoa prices faced mounting headwinds from weakening demand signals and comfortable supply conditions. Traders navigating this environment confronted a market that offered no clear directional consensus, making position sizing and risk management critical to survival.
The scenario tracks cocoa's decline from 3086 to 2799, a -9.3% move that unfolded across 122 daily bars. The market carved out a maximum drawdown of 14.4%, testing the conviction of anyone holding directional positions. What stands out is the largest single-bar move of 3.3%, a volatility spike capable of triggering forced exits or margin calls. With 21 decision points woven through the replay—7 marked as critical junctures—participants faced repeated moments where discipline and process mattered more than directional conviction.
This replay hones the ability to manage positions through sustained pressure without abandoning sound methodology. The 14.4% drawdown forces participants to confront the psychological weight of watching losses accumulate, while the 3.3% intraday spikes test whether one will react emotionally or stick to pre-defined risk rules. By confronting each of the 21 decision points, traders learn that surviving extended drawdowns requires neither prediction nor luck—it demands a repeatable process and the emotional resilience to execute it when the market offers no reassurance.