Cocoa Historical Replay: 2014-11 to 2015-05
Replay a 122-day soft commodities window where prices fell into a 13.1% drawdown before recovering 5.8% to close. You move bar by bar, tackle 7 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-11 to 2015-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.1% and a 16.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.1%
- Max run-up
- +16.1%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.3%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2014, soft commodity traders entered a challenging six-month window where cocoa prices experienced sharp volatility amid shifting global demand signals. The replay spans 122 trading days from November 2014 to May 2015, immersing participants in a market where positions could swing dramatically with each daily bar. This period tested the ability to manage risk during uncertainty while maintaining discipline across a complete market cycle.
Cocoa prices initially declined into a 13.1% drawdown before mounting a recovery that closed the window up 5.8%, rising from 2836 to 3001. The largest single-bar move reached 3.3%, highlighting the intraday spikes that could quickly enlarge or erode positions. Navigating this environment required traders to work through 21 decision points, with 7 identified as critical moments where directional conviction and risk management were severely tested.
This replay sharpens decision-making under pressure by forcing traders to confront losses without the benefit of hindsight. Managing a 13.1% drawdown while prices ultimately recovered teaches patience and position discipline. The 3.3% single-bar volatility serves as a reminder that even small decisions carry amplified consequences in volatile soft commodity markets. For training purposes, the key takeaway is maintaining a repeatable process and emotional control when facing adverse moves rather than reacting to short-term price action.