Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-05
Replay rough rice across an 86-day span that saw a 17.3% advance and a 4.0% single-bar shock tied to a 2022 war-driven supply scare. You step through daily bars, make calls at 15 decision points including 5 critical ones, and receive an AI coach debrief. Simulated capital, educational use only.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 124 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.7% and a 20.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.7%
- Max run-up
- +20.5%
- Duration
- 124 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.0%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice, a cornerstone of global food commodity markets, faced a defining stress test in early 2022 as geopolitical tensions boiled over into open conflict. This scenario replays an 86-day span from late January through May, placing traders squarely inside a war-driven supply shock that rattled agricultural markets worldwide. With 15 decision points to navigate—including 5 critical moments—the stakes were clear: stay disciplined or risk significant losses as supply fears whipped prices higher.
The market moved from a close of 14.96 to 17.55, delivering a 17.3% advance over the period. Yet the journey was anything but smooth—a 4.0% single-bar shock punctured the charts, testing even seasoned risk managers. The maximum drawdown of 5.7% reminded participants that gains come with volatility taxes, and that timing matters as much as direction.
This replay sharpens decision-making under uncertainty. Traders must calibrate position sizing against geopolitical tail risks, resist the urge to chase momentum at extremes, and maintain composure when headlines fuel panic or euphoria. The 15 decision points—including the 5 critical ones—serve as micro-labs for practicing emotional discipline. History shows that war-era supply disruptions are noisy, fast, and unforgiving; this scenario lets participants learn those lessons with simulated capital, building habits that matter when real markets move.
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