Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-06
Replay 92 days of rough rice trading from January 20 to June 1, 2022, as prices climbed 16.0% amid grain-export turmoil. You make decisions at 16 daily checkpoints, including 6 critical moments, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
92 daily bars · 16 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 132 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.7% and a 20.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.7%
- Max run-up
- +20.7%
- Duration
- 132 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.0%
- Bars
- 92 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 16
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice futures on U.S. exchanges became a focal point in early 2022 as geopolitical tensions escalated in the Black Sea region, threatening to disrupt global grain shipments. The commodity sits at the foundation of food systems across Asia and the Middle East, making any supply shock a matter of food security. The replay window from January 20 to June 1, 2022 captures a period when traders had to navigate mounting uncertainty over Ukrainian agricultural exports.
Over 92 trading days, rough rice prices rose from 14.77 to 17.14, a gain of 16.0%. The journey was not linear—prices experienced a maximum drawdown of 5.7% and the largest single daily move reached 4.0%. This combination of steady appreciation punctuated by sharp reversals created a demanding environment for position management.
This replay tests decision-making under ambiguity, requiring traders to act at 16 checkpoints, with 6 designated as critical moments. The scenario teaches disciplined risk sizing against moderate drawdowns and emotional composure when facing sudden 4.0% swings. Success hinges on having a clear process rather than reacting to headlines.
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