Soybean Historical Replay: 2021-03 to 2021-06
Replay 62 daily bars of the 2021 soybean rally ending at 1415, with a punishing 19.9% drawdown along the way. Step through each session, weigh 11 decision points, and let the AI coach review your choices in simulated-only training.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-03 to 2021-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.9% and a 21.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.9%
- Max run-up
- +21.5%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- −8.2%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2021, soybean futures entered a period of extraordinary turbulence. The commodity shock that had been building since late 2020 reached a critical phase between March and June, testing the resolve of anyone holding positions or considering entries. For traders and analysts, this span represented a stress test of assumptions about supply chains, weather patterns, and global demand—forces that could reverse course without warning.
The replay covers 62 daily bars from 2021-03-24 to 2021-06-21, ending at 1415 with a net decline of -1.2% from an opening near 1432.75. Yet the headline number obscures the real story. A maximum drawdown of 19.9% means participants endured significant unrealized losses during the journey, while the largest single-bar move of 8.2% shows how quickly sentiment could shift in either direction. This violent oscillation between sharp rallies and brutal reversals created an environment where maintaining composure became as critical as directional conviction.
The session presents 11 decision points, with 4 marked as critical junctures where positioning choices could dramatically alter outcomes. This historical episode teaches that surviving volatile markets requires disciplined risk management, emotional regulation, and a willingness to reassess positions when evidence contradicts initial theses. The drawdown figures remind us that survival precedes profit—preserving capital through punishing pullbacks is what enables participation when trends finally align.
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