Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2021-03 to 2021-06
Rough rice slid from 13.4 to 12.72 across 62 trading days in a 13.8% drawdown, with one session spiking 3.9%. Step through each daily bar, make decisions at 11 turning points including 4 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated educational replay.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-03 to 2021-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.8% and a 10.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.8%
- Max run-up
- +10.5%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.9%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice, a key soft commodity in global grain markets, entered a volatile stretch from March to June 2021. Agricultural futures were navigating post-pandemic supply disruptions, shifting demand patterns, and heightened speculative activity. For traders and analysts, understanding how to manage positions through sudden reversals in grain markets was becoming an essential skill as the 2020s unfolded.
The price declined from 13.4 to 12.72 over 62 trading days, representing a -5.1% move. The journey was far from smooth, with a maximum drawdown of 13.8% testing risk management discipline. A single session saw a 3.9% spike, illustrating how quickly sentiment could shift in thinly traded markets. Across this period, 11 decision points emerged, with 4 critical junctures demanding the most careful analysis and composure.
This replay trains participants to hold positions through extended drawdowns without abandoning disciplined process. The 13.8% peak-to-trough decline demonstrates why position sizing and stop-loss protocols matter even in commodities with apparent directional trends. The psychological challenge of enduring a 3.9% single-bar move without overreacting mirrors real-world decision pressure. Participants learn to separate signal from noise, making deliberate choices at critical turning points rather than during emotional market swings.
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