Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2021-02 to 2021-05
Rough rice futures climbed 8.4% across 66 daily bars from February to May 2021. Replay this commodity shock day by day, face 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2021-02 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.2% and a 11.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.2%
- Max run-up
- +11.6%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.9%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice futures occupy a specialized corner of the commodity complex, often moving in response to weather disruptions, supply chain shifts, and changing global trade flows. This replay spans February 3 to May 7, 2021, a period when agricultural markets were absorbing the lingering effects of pandemic-era disruptions while navigating early stages of economic recovery. Participants must manage 12 decision points, including 4 critical moments that demand careful calibration between conviction and risk management.
Across 66 daily bars, rough rice climbed from 13.09 to 14.19, an 8.4% advance that masks a more turbulent journey. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 4.2%, testing the resolve of anyone holding positions through temporary setbacks. The largest single-bar move of 3.9% underscores how quickly sentiment can shift in thin agricultural markets, rewarding those with disciplined exits while punishing overconfidence.
This scenario hones the ability to distinguish between meaningful trend development and noise in a market prone to sharp reversals. Decision trainees learn to size positions appropriately when facing a 4.2% peak-to-trough decline, avoiding forced liquidations that could derail a sound thesis. The psychological dimension is equally important: maintaining analytical discipline when a 3.9% single-day move tests emotional boundaries, and recognizing that not every fluctuation warrants action. These skills transfer across markets and timeframes, making this rough rice episode a valuable training ground for volatility management.
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