Rebar Historical Replay: 2020-06 to 2020-09
Replay 66 daily bars of Chinese rebar from 2020-06-04 to 2020-09-07, watching the contract grind from 3606 to 3736. You step through each session, hit 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review — simulated capital, no real trades.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2020-06 to 2020-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 95 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 3.7% and a 8.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −3.7%
- Max run-up
- +8.6%
- Duration
- 95 days
- Largest single-day move
- −1.9%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Chinese rebar market entered the summer of 2020 in a state of cautious recovery. Following the severe disruptions of early 2020, steel demand was gradually rebuilding as infrastructure projects resumed and manufacturing activity picked up. The period from June to September represented a critical window for traders and risk managers to understand how this essential construction commodity would behave during a fragile economic recovery — with supply chains still adjusting, inventories fluctuating, and sentiment shifting between optimism and doubt.
Over the 66 daily bars spanning 2020-06-04 to 2020-09-07, the rebar contract grinded higher from 3606 to 3736, delivering a modest 3.6% return. The journey was anything but smooth: a maximum drawdown of 3.7% tested conviction, while the largest single-bar move of 1.9% reminded participants that volatility could strike without warning. Traders navigated through 12 decision points, with 4 critical junctures demanding the most careful judgment — moments where position sizing, stop discipline, and read of market structure were put to the ultimate test.
This replay teaches that in slow grind markets, patience and process matter more than bold predictions. The 3.7% drawdown illustrates how even a winning trend extracts a psychological toll, and the 1.9% intraday shock underscores why risk management cannot be relaxed during "quiet" periods. By stepping through each decision point, learners develop the disciplined habits — pre-trade plans, emotional detachment, and systematic review — that separate structured traders from impulsive ones. Historical context transforms abstract risk numbers into visceral lessons that shape better decisions going forward.
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