Coke Historical Replay: 2020-07 to 2020-10
Replay 66 daily bars of the 2020 ferrous rally from July 23 to October 30, as prices climbed 8.7% from 2014 to 2189. Walk through each session, make decisions at 12 choice points, and get an AI coach review, all on simulated capital.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2020-07 to 2020-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.2% and a 15.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.2%
- Max run-up
- +15.1%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.7%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Ferrous markets entered the second half of 2020 with heightened uncertainty. The coke contract replay spans 66 daily bars from July 23 to October 30, capturing a period when Chinese industrial commodities were rebounding from pandemic lows. Participants face a sustained uptrend that tested conviction, discipline, and risk management across 12 decision points, 4 of which are flagged as critical moments. The task is to navigate a price climb of 8.7% — from 2014 to 2189 — without letting short-term volatility erode discipline.
The period delivered a textbook boom environment: steady appreciation punctuated by a maximum drawdown of 8.2% and a largest single-bar move of 4.7%. These are the moments that separate trained decision-makers from reactive ones. A trader who flinched at the drawdown or overtraded the volatile bar would have underperformed the raw directional move. The replay forces you to decide whether to hold, adjust, or reduce exposure at each choice point, with AI coaching revealing the gap between your process and the historical record.
Training value lies not in predicting the next boom, but in building a repeatable process under uncertainty. The 2020s era data shows that drawdowns are structural features of any rally — managing them is the work. Critical decision points in this replay strip away the comfort of hindsight and ask: given what you knew at that bar, what would you do? That question is the core of decision training, and this replay gives it historical grounding without fabricated certainty.