Coke Historical Replay: 2019-07 to 2019-10
Relive 62 trading days of US ferrous volatility as the 2019 trade war intensified, watching prices fall 10.6% from 2082 to 1862 with a 16.2% drawdown. Step through each session, tackle 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated market-replay.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2019-07 to 2019-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.2% and a 7.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.2%
- Max run-up
- +7.9%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.8%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses you in US ferrous markets during the summer and early autumn of 2019, a period when escalating trade tensions between the United States and China sent shockwaves through global commodity markets. Over 62 daily trading sessions spanning July 10 to October 11, participants navigate a market environment where geopolitical uncertainty became the dominant driver of price action. The scenario captures a moment when the iron and steel supply chain faced unprecedented pressure from shifting trade policy.
The price trajectory tells a story of sustained decline: from an opening level of 2082, the market fell to 1862, representing a -10.6% contraction. The journey was anything but smooth, with a maximum drawdown of 16.2% testing the resolve of any position holder. Volatility manifested in sharp individual sessions, the largest single-bar move reaching 4.8%. Across the replay, 11 decision points punctuate the timeline, with 4 designated as critical junctures where directional conviction was essential.
This historical window offers rich terrain for developing decision-making discipline under geopolitical stress. The scenario demands that participants manage drawdown risk while maintaining clarity about their thesis, two objectives that often pull in opposite directions. The psychological dimension proves equally challenging: watching a position move against you by 16.2% while headlines shift daily requires both emotional regulation and a repeatable process. Navigating the 4 critical decision points reinforces that conviction must be earned through analysis rather than hope, and that surviving periods of sustained volatility is often the prerequisite for being present when conditions eventually stabilize.