RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2019-11 to 2020-05
Replay RBOB gasoline from November 2019 to May 2020, watching prices fall 47.5% over 124 daily bars with a 76.6% drawdown. Step through 21 decision points day-by-day, including 7 critical junctures, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2019-11 to 2020-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 76.6% and a 131.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −76.6%
- Max run-up
- +131.7%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −32.8%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
RBOB gasoline futures, a cornerstone of US energy markets, encountered an extraordinary stress test as the novel coronavirus evolved from a regional health event into a global pandemic. From November 2019 through May 2020, participants in this market faced collapsing demand, unprecedented travel restrictions, and a fundamental restructuring of energy consumption patterns. The period crossed from the final months of the 2010s into the early 2020s, capturing a transition that reshaped commodities trading forever.
The numbers tell the story: across 124 daily bars, RBOB gasoline plummeted from 1.62 to 0.85, a 47.5% decline that wiped out years of price appreciation in months. The maximum drawdown reached 76.6%, meaning even traders who anticipated weakness faced devastating unrealized losses. Volatility was equally extreme, with the largest single-bar move reaching 32.8%—a magnitude that could vaporize margin buffers overnight. Navigating this required making consequential decisions at 21 distinct points, with 7 critical junctures demanding especially careful judgment.
This replay trains traders to maintain discipline when fundamentals fail, when models break down, and when drawdowns exceed what historical analysis would suggest. The 76.6% peak-to-trough decline teaches humility about position sizing; the 32.8% single-session swings underscore the importance of margin buffers and risk limits that account for fat-tail events. Psychologically, the scenario demands the ability to make decisions under extreme pressure without succumbing to either paralysis or reckless doubling-down. Mastery here is not about predicting the next pandemic but about building processes robust enough to survive it.
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