Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2019-11 to 2020-05
Replay 124 days of US natural gas from late 2019 into the early pandemic shock, watching price slide 38.9% from 2.65 to 1.62. Walk each session, decide through 21 branching points, and receive an AI coach review on your simulated reasoning.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2019-11 to 2020-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 42.4% and a 37.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −42.4%
- Max run-up
- +37.4%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +9.7%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene focuses on US natural gas futures during a critical transition from the late 2010s into the early pandemic era. The period from November 2019 to May 2020 captured a fundamental shift in global energy dynamics, where traditional seasonal demand patterns collided with unprecedented macroeconomic disruption. Players entering this replay face a market that had been trading in familiar ranges but was about to encounter conditions that would test every assumption about supply, demand, and risk management.
Over 124 trading days from November 14, 2019 to May 13, 2020, natural gas prices collapsed from 2.65 to 1.62, a decline of 38.9%. The market experienced extreme volatility, with a maximum drawdown of 42.4% and individual sessions moving as much as 9.7%. Navigating through 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures, participants encounter the raw mechanics of a market under siege—where seasonal norms dissolve and systemic risk dominates traditional trading frameworks.
This replay forces traders to confront the gap between analytical models and real-world chaos. The key lesson is not predicting the pandemic but building the psychological resilience to act coherently when familiar patterns break. Process discipline, position sizing, and the humility to revise views under drawdown become the difference between constructive engagement and reactive capitulation. It is a classroom for understanding that survival precedes profitability.
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