The 2010s Archive
A recovery nobody trusted: flash crashes, the European debt crisis, negative rates and the 2018 volatility spike.
52 archive files
2019 · Forex · US
August 5, 2019: RMB Breaks 7 — the Chain Reaction That Shook EM Forex
August 5, 2019 — the USD/CNY pair crosses 7 for the first time in years, igniting a shockwave across emerging-market currencies and G10 forex. 2019, forex, US and CN.
Read the file →2019 · Forex · CN
August 2019: Renminbi Crosses 7, EM Forex Caught in the Trade-War Crossfire
When the renminbi broke through 7 in August 2019, Indonesia's rupiah and five other ASEAN currencies faced a cascade of spillover pressure — the full 66-day window and its trading lessons.
Read the file →2019 · Property · US
2019: The Great Property Divergence — US Boom vs. China Cooling
July 2019 began two parallel property stories: Phoenix up 55.8%, Shanghai down 48.5% max drawdown. A 30-month divergence across 14 markets.
Read the file →2019 · Commodities · US
November 2019 – May 2020: How a Pandemic Shocked Global Commodity Markets
Tracing the commodity shockwave from pre-pandemic calm to pandemic disruption across 24 markets spanning energy, metals, agriculture, and softs over six months.
Read the file →2019 · Commodities · US
May 2019: Gold Breaks $1300, the Precious Metals Complex Follows
Gold's $1300 breach in May 2019 triggered a sustained rally, testing trend-following discipline across the precious metals complex over 64 trading days.
Read the file →2018 · Forex · TR
August–November 2018: How Turkey and Argentina Shook the World's Currencies
The 2018 Turkish lira and Argentine peso collapses triggered a cascade through emerging-market FX, with max drawdowns ranging from 1.2% on USD/CNY to 23.0% on EUR/TRY across 66 trading days.
Read the file →2018 · Commodities · US
2018-02 to 2018-08: Policy Uncertainty and the Dollar Surge Reshape Global Commodity Markets
Six months of policy-driven commodity turbulence as USD strength and trade uncertainty created divergent outcomes across ferrous metals, energy, and agricultural markets.
Read the file →2018 · Commodities · US
October 2018: The Commodity Rout That Followed Peak Oil
Energy markets peaked in October 2018 then entered a sustained correction as demand fears, supply glut, and a Federal Reserve pivot reshaped commodity valuations across 32 scenarios.
Read the file →2018 · Property · US
March 2018: The Fed's Rate Hike Cycle and Global Property Markets Under Pressure
The Federal Reserve's March 2018 rate-hike launch tested US and China property markets over 30 months—some cities absorbed rising rates, others buckled.
Read the file →2018 · Forex · TR
2018 Spring: The Turkish Lira Crisis and EM Currency Contagion
How a diplomatic spat between Turkey and the US triggered a cascading EM currency crisis across four continents in 66 trading days.
Read the file →2018 · Commodities · US
Summer 2018: The Commodity Crash — Base Metals, Trade War, and the Emerging Market Stress Test
Copper crashed 16.1%, cocoa 20.3%, coffee 19.9% as US-China trade tensions and EM currency crises reshaped global commodity markets across summer 2018.
Read the file →2018 · Forex · TR
Summer 2018: Trade War and EM Currency Crisis Collide Across 76 FX Replays
Trade-war depreciation of the yuan and the Turkey-Argentina crisis tested global FX in summer 2018 across 76 currency-pair scenarios.
Read the file →2018 · Property · US
2018–2021: The Great Property Divergence — US Resilience vs. Chinese Urban Cooling
Two property universes, one pandemic. US markets climbed while Chinese cities collapsed — a divergence rooted in policy, leverage, and information asymmetry.
Read the file →2018 · Forex · JP
October 23, 2018: USD/CNY Enters the Trade-War Vortex, Reshaping Emerging-Market Forex
When USD/CNY broke key levels in late 2018, trade-war fears and a Fed pivot sent EM currencies into a four-month tailspin across 104 market slices.
Read the file →2017 · Commodities · US
November 2017 – May 2018: Dollar Weakness, Inflation Dreams, and the Commodity Market's Hard Lesson
Commodity markets in late 2017 embraced a dollar-weakness thesis, but execution proved brutal — 27 instruments reveals how direction and process diverge under pressure.
Read the file →2017 · Property · US
2017 US-China City Property Boom: Low Volatility, High Discipline
2017–2019 US and China urban property markets delivered steady gains with compressed volatility—a training ground for disciplined decision-making under deceptive calm.
Read the file →2016 · Commodities · GB
2016 Commodity Crisis: The Divergent Markets After Brexit
From July 2016, commodity markets fractured along sector lines as ferrous surged while precious metals corrected sharply, testing risk discipline across 19 replay scenarios.
Read the file →2016 · Commodities · US
November 8, 2016: Trump's Election Unleashed Policy-Driven Volatility Across Global Commodities
Trump's November 2016 victory sent commodity markets into a policy-driven turmoil, with ferrous metals and energies especially volatile across 114 trading days through March 2017.
Read the file →2016 · Property · CN
China Property 2016: De-Stocking Surge Meets the Housing Principle Pivot
Surging mortgage credit and escalating home prices met sudden municipal curbs and an overarching policy pivot. Covers China property in 2016.
Read the file →2016 · Property · US
2016: How Two Property Markets Learned the Same Low-Volatility Lesson
China tier-1 and US coastal property surged into sustained low-volatility advances in 2016, proving that quiet markets and safe markets are not the same thing.
Read the file →2016 · Property · US
Summer 2016: Why Identical Macro Conditions Produced 21.4% Gains in Seattle and 9.7% Gains in New York
US city housing entered mid-2016 on a synchronized recovery—but within 30 months, Seattle had surged 21.4% while New York gained only 9.7%. Same index, divergent cities, the same post-crisis decade.
Read the file →2015 · Forex · EU
March 2015: ECB QE Launch and the Euro's Divergent Paths Across G10 Markets
When the ECB unveiled quantitative easing in March 2015, EUR crosses told five different stories—from EUR/JPY's 6.8% rally to EUR/GBP's 5.0% drawdown, all within 64 trading days.
Read the file →2015 · Commodities · US
December 16, 2015: The Fed's Rate Hike and the Global Commodity Rout
When the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in seven years, commodity markets felt it immediately. Dollar strength became the fuse for a cross-sector crisis that hit energy hardest.
Read the file →2015 · Forex · US
December 2015: The Federal Reserve Hikes—and Emerging-Market Currencies Fracture
When the Fed finally lifted rates in December 2015, emerging-market forex had already begun fracturing. A forensic look at how policy divergence triggered currency crises across the developing world.
Read the file →2015 · Property · US
2015–2017: When Property Markets Climbed Without Falling
A deep dive into the 2010s property boom, tracing US and China city indices through a 30-month climb with near-zero drawdowns and the training lessons buried inside that calm.
Read the file →2015 · Property · US
2015-12: The Fed's First Post-Crisis Hike and the Calm That Followed in US Property
In December 2015 the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in nearly a decade, testing US property markets already in multi-year recovery. The reaction was remarkably muted.
Read the file →2015 · Property · US
Summer 2015: The Low-Volatility Bull — How Eleven US Property Markets Taught Traders to Trust the Trend
July 2015–December 2017: US residential property entered a sustained advance with minimal turbulence across eleven city indices. How did low volatility reshape decision habits?
Read the file →2014 · Commodities · US
August 2014–January 2015: Dollar Surge and Policy Divergence Fracture Global Commodities
How a dollar surge in October 2014, driven by Fed policy divergence, triggered a broad commodities collapse across energy, metals, and agriculture, with crude oil max drawdown reaching 54.9%.
Read the file →2014 · Forex · US
2014: The Dollar's Broad Surge and the EM Forex Reckoning
2014: Dollar's surge reshaped global currency markets. Fed-ECB divergence drove EM/G10 FX across two waves, July–Jan.
Read the file →2014 · Forex · US
June 8, 2014: The Dollar's Tentative Recovery and the FX Divide it Exposed
On June 8, 2014 the dollar surged against most currencies, revealing the chasm between managed rates and free-floating EM volatility — a 66-day window for decision training.
Read the file →2014 · Commodities · US
Mid-2014: Energy Markets Peak Near $115, Then Turn — A 64-Day Replay
Energy markets peaked near $115 in early 2014 before turning lower. A 64-trading-day replay across Brent, WTI, natural gas, and refined products reveals why process matters more than direction.
Read the file →2014 · Forex · CH
2015-01-15: SNB Ends Euro Peg, CHF Pairs Experience Largest Single-Day Moves in Decades
On Jan 15, 2015 the SNB abandoned its 3-year EUR/CHF floor, triggering extreme CHF volatility across G10 FX. All figures from FinFable's scenario data confirm the scale.
Read the file →2014 · Property · US
September 2014: The Steady Climb — US Housing Enters Its Low-Volatility Recovery Phase
In September 2014, eleven US property markets began a 30-month replay of the post-crisis rebound, delivering steady gains with drawdowns under 2%.
Read the file →2013 · Commodities · US
Late 2013 to Spring 2014: Commodity Markets at the Crossroads of Dollar Strength
USD strength reshaped commodity markets — energy and metals fell while agriculture rallied across 26 instruments over six months.
Read the file →2013 · Commodities · US
2013 Summer: The Fed's Taper Talk and 72 Days Across Commodity Markets
Ben Bernanke's June 2013 taper hint shattered three months of commodity calm, sending corn into a 30.6% collapse while cocoa surged 14.6%.
Read the file →2013 · Forex · JP
January–May 2013: Abenomics Unleashes Yen Weakness Across G10 Forex
When Japan's new government launched massive monetary stimulus in 2013, every G10 cross against the yen broke higher — but the paths were anything but straight.
Read the file →2012 · Property · BG
October 2012: Seven National Property Markets Begin a Coordinated Ascent
Seven national property indices began climbing together in October 2012, riding low rates and policy support through a rare sustained bull phase with minimal drawdowns.
Read the file →2012 · Property · US
December 2012: The Turning Point When US Housing Found Its Footing After Crisis
US housing's post-crisis turning point: how a shattered market found its footing from late 2012. Property boom, recovery dynamics.
Read the file →2012 · Commodities · US
Summer 2012: Drought and ECB OMT — The Dual Shock That Split Commodity Markets
June 2012 drought split US commodity markets while ECB's September OMT announcement reshaped global risk sentiment, creating divergent outcomes across grains, softs, and metals.
Read the file →2012 · Stocks · US
2012 Global Equity Correction: From Summer Drawdown to Divergent Recovery
Global equities entered summer 2012 with a broad correction, then bifurcated sharply — US and Nordic markets recovered while emerging Asia and Europe diverged through year-end.
Read the file →2012 · Forex · EU
Summer 2012: The Euro Under Pressure — Five Currency Pairs, One Crisis
The summer of 2012 found the euro under severe stress as the European sovereign debt crisis unfolded across the continent, with five major G10 currency pairs diverging sharply.
Read the file →2012 · Forex · EU
July 2012: EUR/CHF Floor and the Divergent Fortunes of G10 Currency Pairs
The SNB's 11-month-old floor against the euro framed a summer of divergent G10 currency moves as the ECB pivoted toward aggressive easing.
Read the file →2012 · Property · US
January 2012: U.S. Housing Emerges into Recovery — Twelve Cities, One Question
January 2012: U.S. housing exits crisis into a recovery boom, testing whether early price gains signal sustainable rebound across twelve city-level markets.
Read the file →2011 · Commodities · EU
2011 Summer: The Commodity Rout — US Downgrade, Euro Contagion, and 37 Scenarios of Market Stress
In August 2011, S&P downgraded US sovereign credit for the first time. A six-month commodity rout followed across energy, metals, and agriculture—37 decision scenarios from June to January.
Read the file →2011 · Property · US
2011 US Property: The Tentative Recovery That Rewrote City Economies
Spring 2011 — US housing emerged from its worst collapse in decades. Twelve city indices and two national benchmarks entered a fragile rebound that tested every investor's conviction.
Read the file →2011 · Forex · US
2011 Summer: The US Credit Downgrade and Global Forex Stress Test
August 2011's unprecedented US sovereign credit downgrade sent shockwaves through forex markets, creating a 122-trading-day stress test across emerging and G10 currency pairs from June to December.
Read the file →2010 · Commodities · EU
2010: Double Shock — European Debt Fears and a Russian Wheat Ban Rattled Global Commodities
In spring and summer 2010, two crises collided: EU sovereign debt sent commodities reeling, then a Russian drought and wheat export ban reshaped grain markets.
Read the file →2010 · Commodities · US
Late 2010: The QE2 Commodity Surge — How Federal Reserve Policy Reshaped Global Markets
On October 7, 2010, US commodity markets ignited as QE2 expectations flooded markets with liquidity, sending industrial metals, energy, and agriculture into a synchronized boom across 22 markets.
Read the file →2010 · Forex · EU
August 2010: Euro Under Fire — Five Currency Pairs and the First European Sovereign Debt Stress Test
The euro faced its first systemic test of the decade in summer 2010 as Greek debt concerns rippled across G10 forex markets, producing divergent but interconnected moves in five currency pairs.
Read the file →2010 · Commodities · RU
August 2010: Russia's Wheat Export Ban and the Global Commodity Shock
Russia's wheat export ban in August 2010 triggered cross-commodity contagion, sending corn up 24.8% yet with 11.7% drawdowns and 6.1% single-day moves across 64 trading days.
Read the file →2010 · Property · US
2010: Two Property Markets, Two Diverging Fates — US Bottoming, China Overheating
US housing emerged from subprime wreckage seeking a floor while China's property boom faced its first major regulatory crackdown — a tale of two markets at opposite phases of the cycle.
Read the file →2010 · Property · US
October 2010: Divergent Recovery — US Housing Markets Navigate Fragile Post-Crisis Terrain
Sixteen city and national property markets from October 2010 reveal divergent recovery paths after the housing crash — some cities stabilizing, others still falling.
Read the file →