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2014 Archive Volume

In mid-2014 Brent crude near $115 began a 15% retreat over 64 days, dragging WTI, gasoline and heating oil into a synchronized reversal that tested trend-following discipline.

6 files in this volume

The year in numbers

456
Replayable scenarios

This year's files

  1. 01August 2014–January 2015: Dollar Surge and Policy Divergence Fracture Global Commodities

    How a dollar surge in October 2014, driven by Fed policy divergence, triggered a broad commodities collapse across energy, metals, and agriculture, with crude oil max drawdown reaching 54.9%.

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  2. 022014: The Dollar's Broad Surge and the EM Forex Reckoning

    2014: Dollar's surge reshaped global currency markets. Fed-ECB divergence drove EM/G10 FX across two waves, July–Jan.

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  3. 03June 8, 2014: The Dollar's Tentative Recovery and the FX Divide it Exposed

    On June 8, 2014 the dollar surged against most currencies, revealing the chasm between managed rates and free-floating EM volatility — a 66-day window for decision training.

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  4. 04Mid-2014: Energy Markets Peak Near $115, Then Turn — A 64-Day Replay

    Energy markets peaked near $115 in early 2014 before turning lower. A 64-trading-day replay across Brent, WTI, natural gas, and refined products reveals why process matters more than direction.

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  5. 052015-01-15: SNB Ends Euro Peg, CHF Pairs Experience Largest Single-Day Moves in Decades

    On Jan 15, 2015 the SNB abandoned its 3-year EUR/CHF floor, triggering extreme CHF volatility across G10 FX. All figures from FinFable's scenario data confirm the scale.

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  6. 06September 2014: The Steady Climb — US Housing Enters Its Low-Volatility Recovery Phase

    In September 2014, eleven US property markets began a 30-month replay of the post-crisis rebound, delivering steady gains with drawdowns under 2%.

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