Cocoa Historical Replay: 2025-07 to 2025-10
Replay the 2025 cocoa slide from 8329 to 5916, a 29.0% decline across 62 daily bars. Walk through each session, face 11 decision points, and receive AI coach review in this simulated, educational scenario.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2025-07 to 2025-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 33.9% and a 8.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −33.9%
- Max run-up
- +8.5%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.3%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays a steep cocoa correction across 62 daily bars spanning 2025-07-25 to 2025-10-21, a period that tested the resolve of anyone holding long positions in the soft commodity space. The market had previously been elevated, and the approaching era of shifting demand signals and macro headwinds set the stage for a significant unwind. Participants in this replay face the challenge of navigating an asset class prone to volatile swings driven by supply chain dynamics and currency pressures.
The closing price descended from 8329 to 5916, a decline of -29.0%, with a maximum drawdown reaching 33.9%. The largest single session move amounted to 5.3%, underscoring the intraday volatility that can materialize without warning. Throughout the period, 11 decision points were embedded into the replay, of which 4 were marked as critical, demanding traders confront moments of acute uncertainty and potential capitulation.
This replay trains traders to confront the psychological strain of holding through a sustained drawdown while maintaining disciplined risk management. The 33.9% maximum drawdown serves as a stark reminder of how quickly paper losses can accumulate, and the presence of critical decision nodes forces learners to practice cutting losses or adding strategically under pressure. By studying historical precedent within the 2020s commodity cycles, participants develop resilience and frameworks for managing positions when trends reverse sharply.