Cocoa Historical Replay: 2025-06 to 2025-09
Cocoa prices plunged from 9948 to 7270, a 26.9% slide across 68 turbulent daily bars through summer 2025. Replay this historical soft-commodity stretch day by day, navigate 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational setting.
68 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2025-06 to 2025-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 97 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 30.5% and a 20.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −30.5%
- Max run-up
- +20.3%
- Duration
- 97 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.6%
- Bars
- 68 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa futures entered the summer of 2025 as a market demanding attention. Soft commodities were under pressure from shifting inflation dynamics, and the 2020s had already shown that agricultural markets could move with unusual ferocity. From early June through early September, traders faced a prolonged directional decline that tested every aspect of market participation.
The numbers tell a stark story. Cocoa prices fell from 9948 to 7270, a -26.9% slide across 68 daily bars. The maximum drawdown hit 30.5%, meaning anyone holding long positions faced significant unrealized losses at some point. The largest single-bar move of 12.6% showed that panic and momentum could strike without warning, turning what looked like support into a breakdown.
For decision training, this replay offers a clinic in managing extended downside. Twelve decision points—four marked as critical—force participants to choose between holding, cutting, or repositioning as the market grinds lower. The scenario tests risk discipline, the ability to distinguish between temporary dips and structural breaks, and psychological resilience when a position moves against you. Running this historical stretch builds the muscle memory needed to navigate high-volatility soft commodity environments without letting emotion override process.