Cocoa Historical Replay: 2023-06 to 2023-09
Cocoa futures surged 13.6% from 3149 to 3577 between June and September 2023, weathering a 7.9% drawdown. Replay 62 daily bars, navigate 11 decision points with 4 critical, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated educational market-history exercise.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2023-06 to 2023-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 90 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.9% and a 15.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.9%
- Max run-up
- +15.5%
- Duration
- 90 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.1%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa futures entered a volatile phase in mid-2023 as soft commodity markets absorbed shifting supply-demand dynamics and weather uncertainties. Between June and September, traders faced the challenge of positioning in a market where production forecasts remained fluid and global trade flows were adjusting. The stakes were substantial: pricing errors could mean missing a directional move or absorbing disproportionate losses during reversals.
The replay captures 62 daily bars of authentic price action, with cocoa rising from 3149 to 3577, a 13.6% gain that masked considerable intraperiod turbulence. The largest single-bar move reached 4.1%, underscoring the directional conviction that can emerge suddenly. A maximum drawdown of 7.9% tested risk management discipline, reminding participants that profitable trends rarely advance in straight lines. Eleven decision points, four deemed critical, punctuate the period, each requiring traders to reassess exposure and conviction.
This replay sharpens decision training by exposing the interplay of process, risk calibration, and psychological resilience. Participants must navigate information gaps while maintaining disciplined position sizing through a 7.9% retracement. The 4.1% single-bar volatility demands composure; reacting emotionally to sudden swings typically compounds losses. By engaging with this historically grounded scenario, traders refine their ability to execute plans under uncertainty, a skill transcending any single market cycle.