Sugar Historical Replay: 2021-10 to 2022-01
Replay 64 daily bars of soft commodities from 2021-10-22 to 2022-01-24, navigating 11 decision points through a 12.7% drawdown. Step into each session, choose your action, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in a simulated educational environment.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-10 to 2022-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.7% and a 7.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.7%
- Max run-up
- +7.0%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.1%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the final months of 2021, sugar markets faced mounting regulatory scrutiny as Chinese authorities signaled tighter oversight of commodity markets broadly. The period from 2021-10-22 to 2022-01-24 presented traders with 64 daily bars of historical price action, requiring navigation through 11 decision points—4 deemed critical—amid persistent uncertainty about policy direction and its market impact.
The market outcome revealed a deceptive surface reading: prices closed at 18.81 from an opening of 19.08, a modest -1.4% decline over the full span. Yet this contained finish concealed a 12.7% maximum drawdown during the journey, with the largest single-bar move of 3.1% occurring amid the volatility. The disconnect between the mild net change and turbulent intermediate action defined the challenge.
For decision training, this scenario forces reckoning with the gap between outcome and process. A -1.4% result masks the psychological toll of experiencing 12.7% of capital erosion before recovery. Trainees must practice sizing positions that survive drawdown, executing critical decisions without paralysis, and maintaining discipline when market noise obscures the underlying trend. The 4 critical decision points serve as pressure valves—each representing a moment where one wrong choice compounds risk. Mastery here means building the habit of systematic evaluation over emotional reaction.
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