Coffee Historical Replay: 2021-02 to 2021-05
Coffee futures climbed 22.9% between February and May 2021 as a historic soft-commodity shock unfolded across 66 daily bars. Replay the move day by day, face 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated training environment.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2021-02 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.6% and a 26.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.6%
- Max run-up
- +26.8%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.9%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Coffee futures, a soft commodity notorious for price swings, entered early 2021 in relative calm before an extraordinary move took shape. The February 3 to May 7, 2021 period gave traders 66 daily bars of price action and 12 decision points, including 4 critical junctures that would test conviction and risk management. This was a window where supply concerns, weather dynamics, and global demand forces converged to produce a rare commodity shock.
Over the 66 trading days, coffee futures climbed from 123.95 to 152.3, delivering a 22.9% return. The journey was far from linear—traders faced a maximum drawdown of 12.6% and the largest single-bar move reached 6.9%, demanding composure during sharp intraday reversals. Each daily bar presented fresh uncertainty, transforming a seemingly straightforward uptrend into a demanding test of timing and position management.
This replay hones the ability to balance momentum conviction against drawdown risk. The 12.6% peak-to-trough decline challenges emotional discipline, while the 6.9% single-day spikes test position sizing and stop-loss discipline. Four critical decision points force participants to practice real-time judgment—holding, adding, reducing, or exiting—without hindsight clarity. The objective is building a repeatable process that survives volatility, not predicting the next move.
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