Cocoa Historical Replay: 2020-06 to 2020-09
Replay the 2020 cocoa rebound across 11 decision points, where prices climbed 5.4% from 2425 to 2556 despite a 14.3% drawdown. Walk each daily bar, tackle 4 critical forks, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-06 to 2020-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 91 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.3% and a 28.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.3%
- Max run-up
- +28.1%
- Duration
- 91 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.7%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The cocoa market entered the summer of 2020 at a precarious inflection point. As global supply chains struggled with pandemic disruptions, soft commodity traders faced a complex landscape where fundamental pressures collided with volatile demand signals. This replay captures the delicate rebound scenario that unfolded between June 23 and September 22, placing participants at the intersection of uncertainty and opportunity across 64 daily bars.
What unfolded was a measured but turbulent recovery. Prices climbed 5.4% from 2425 to 2556, yet the journey proved far from linear. The market experienced a 14.3% maximum drawdown and a largest single-day move of 6.7%, creating multiple stress points where positions could have been tested severely. Across 11 decision points, with 4 deemed critical forks, traders had to navigate shifting momentum while managing exposure through genuine volatility.
This scenario excels as a decision-training exercise precisely because it strips away hindsight clarity. Participants must practice position sizing, risk management, and emotional discipline without knowing where the next 6.7% swing might strike. The lesson is not about predicting the rebound's success but about developing the processes that allow traders to survive drawdowns and capture meaningful moves when fundamentals eventually align.
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