Cocoa Historical Replay: 2020-11 to 2021-05
Replay 122 daily bars of the 2020–2021 cocoa market across an 11.1% close decline and a 25.2% drawdown. Step through each session, tackle seven critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2020-11 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 25.2% and a 13.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −25.2%
- Max run-up
- +13.8%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −8.5%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa markets entered November 2020 at a pivotal moment. The replay covers 122 daily bars from 2020-11-17 to 2021-05-13, a period when the soft commodity sector faced significant crosscurrents. Participants navigate this stretch with a starting reference of 2768, confronting the full arc of a market that ultimately fell 11.1% despite intermediate volatility peaks. The scenario presents 21 decision points, seven of them marked as critical junctures where directional conviction and risk calibration were tested.
The price trajectory proved treacherous: a maximum drawdown of 25.2% tested position sizing discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 8.5% challenged emotional control. Closing at 2461, the market delivered a negative return but with complexity that rewards systematic analysis over simple directional bets. The gap between peak-to-trough severity and net decline reveals the importance of distinguishing temporary dislocations from sustained trend changes.
This replay sharpens decision-making under uncertainty. Traders must calibrate position sizes against a 25.2% drawdown scenario, manage psychological responses to 8.5% intraday spikes, and distinguish signal from noise across 21 distinct choice moments. Seven critical points demand clear reasoning about entry, exit, and risk management—the core skills this educational environment is designed to develop. The period offers a classroom in volatility management and disciplined process adherence.