Coffee Historical Replay: 2013-11 to 2014-05
Coffee surged 73.7% across 122 daily bars from November 2013 to May 2014, a replay capturing one of soft commodities' sharpest boom-bust stretches. Step through each trading day, tackle 21 decision points including 7 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2013-11 to 2014-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.5% and a 103.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.5%
- Max run-up
- +103.0%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- +12.5%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Coffee markets in late 2013 were entering a period of significant volatility. From November 15, 2013 to May 13, 2014, a 122-bar window captured one of the decade's most dramatic soft commodity movements. This was not a quiet drift but a sharp, momentum-driven surge that tested the convictions of every participant in the market. Understanding what drove this move and how traders navigated its twists is the purpose of this replay.
Coffee rose from 105.75 to 183.65, a gain of 73.7% across those 122 daily bars. The journey was anything but smooth—traders faced a maximum drawdown of 16.5% and the largest single-bar move hit 12.5%. The volatility was not evenly distributed; it arrived in sharp bursts that could erase weeks of gains in hours. This created an environment where position sizing, entry timing, and the discipline to hold through turbulence were as consequential as directional conviction.
This scenario presents 21 decision points, 7 of them critical, for participants to work through under simulated conditions. The primary educational value lies in confronting the gap between a trade that is directionally correct and one that is well-managed. Learners practice separating signal from noise, controlling risk exposure during reversals, and managing the psychological temptation to abandon a thesis just as it begins to pay off. These are the processes that separate disciplined practitioners from reactive ones, and this replay offers a structured environment to sharpen them.
Featured in the archive