Coffee Historical Replay: 2011-02 to 2011-08
A 23.2% drawdown defined the 2011 coffee boom's collapse, with daily swings reaching 4.8% across 126 trading sessions. Replay each bar, weigh 22 decision moments, and receive an AI coach review of your historical choices, simulated capital only.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2011-02 to 2011-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.2% and a 19.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.2%
- Max run-up
- +19.1%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.8%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2011, the coffee market entered a volatile chapter that would test the judgment of any participant. Across 126 daily bars spanning February 15 to August 15, prices swung through the boom conditions of the 2010s, creating 22 decision moments where positions could be built, adjusted, or exited. Eight of those moments carried critical weight, demanding clear-eyed risk assessment as the market environment shifted beneath participants' feet.
The period delivered a deceptively mild -4.8% net decline, but that tidy headline number masked the turmoil beneath. Prices fell 23.2% from peak to trough at the worst point, while single sessions churned with moves of up to 4.8% in either direction. A passive holder might have closed roughly flat, yet anyone caught overleveraged during the drawdown phases faced capital erosion that no headline figure would have suggested was possible.
This episode teaches why process outlasts prediction. With 22 decision points punctuating the span, the difference between disciplined sizing and reactive gambling often determined whether a participant could absorb the 23.2% decline without forced exits. The psychology of enduring large drawdowns and volatile single-bar swings separates disciplined learners from gamblers. Historical replay offers a rare classroom: feel the pressure of those eight critical moments, make your choices, and receive structured feedback without any real capital at risk.