Cocoa Historical Replay: 2011-02 to 2011-08
Cocoa prices slid 14.9% from 3410 to 2902 over six months of historical replay. Step through 126 daily bars, navigate 22 decision points, and receive an AI coach review on your simulated choices.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2011-02 to 2011-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 24.6% and a 14.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −24.6%
- Max run-up
- +14.8%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.9%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses you in the cocoa market during the first half of 2011, a period when global soft commodity prices faced headwinds from shifting demand signals and macroeconomic uncertainty. Over six months of daily bars, participants navigate a sustained downtrend that tested both conviction and capital management. The scenario spans 126 trading days, offering an authentic reconstruction of one of the decade's more challenging stretches for cocoa.
Prices opened at 3410 and closed at 2902, delivering a -14.9% loss for any position held passively through the period. The journey was far from linear: a maximum drawdown of 24.6% tested risk discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 5.9% reminded traders that volatility can strike without warning. With 22 decision points embedded in the replay, including 8 deemed critical, every week demanded a conscious choice to hold, adjust, or exit.
For decision training, this scenario excels at exposing behavioral pitfalls. Holding through a 24.6% drawdown requires confronting loss aversion; reacting to a 5.9% single-day swing tests emotional discipline. The lesson is not about predicting direction but about process: sizing positions for worst-case drawdowns, adhering to pre-set rules, and recognizing when patience becomes stubbornness. The 2010s cocoa selloff offers a classroom where risk management and trading psychology intersect under pressure.