Palladium Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-05
Replay 86 trading days as palladium plunged from 2362.5 to 1994.8, a -15.6% slide marked by 15 decision points and a 37.5% drawdown. Step through the simulated timeline day by day, weigh each critical choice, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 124 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 37.5% and a 36.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −37.5%
- Max run-up
- +36.1%
- Duration
- 124 days
- Largest single-day move
- −13.6%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The palladium market in early 2022 presented traders with one of the most volatile environments in recent memory. As the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated into open war, palladium—a metal critical to automotive catalytic converters and heavily sourced from Russia—became the focal point of geopolitical supply anxiety. Over the 86 trading days spanning January 27 to May 31, 2022, participants faced a landscape where every headline could shift sentiment dramatically, testing their ability to process uncertainty without succumbing to panic or complacency.
The numbers reveal the severity of what unfolded. Palladium plummeted from 2362.5 to 1994.8, a decline of -15.6%, yet this headline figure obscures the true volatility experienced. The market endured a maximum drawdown of 37.5%, with the largest single trading day move reaching 13.6%. Throughout this period, traders encountered 15 decision points—5 of which were deemed critical—each demanding rapid assessment of shifting supply fears, sanctions rhetoric, and inventory data.
This replay ultimately teaches that disciplined process matters more than directional conviction. Navigating a -15.6% move masked by a 37.5% drawdown tests both risk management protocols and psychological resilience. Traders must resist the urge to average down during sharp drawdowns while maintaining the conviction to act decisively at critical inflection points. The 13.6% single-bar volatility underscores that in war-driven markets, position sizing and emotional control become the primary determinants of survival and performance.
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