Palladium Historical Replay: 2018-11 to 2019-05
Replay palladium across 122 daily bars from November 2018 through May 2019, when prices climbed 17.3%. Step through each day, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review as you study this educational market scenario with simulated capital.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2018-11 to 2019-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 180 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.5% and a 40.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.5%
- Max run-up
- +40.3%
- Duration
- 180 days
- Largest single-day move
- −8.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Palladium, the smallest of the major precious metals markets, entered late 2018 at a crossroads. With the Federal Reserve signaling a potential policy shift and the US dollar under pressure, the auto-catalyst metal faced a pivotal period. The replay spans 122 daily bars from November 2018 through May 2019, placing participants in the position of navigating a complex policy-driven environment where every decision carried weight. This was a test of both analytical rigor and psychological resilience.
Over the six-month period, palladium rose from 1126.8 to 1321.5, delivering a 17.3% return. However, the journey was far from linear—a maximum drawdown of 18.5% tested the conviction of even patient traders, and an 8.9% single-bar move underscored the volatility that accompanies policy uncertainty. These statistics illustrate the gap between a seemingly straightforward directional outcome and the turbulent path required to capture it. The market rewarded those who could endure interim losses while maintaining strategic discipline.
The scenario presents 21 decision points, 7 of them critical, making it an intensive training ground for process-driven trading. Participants must practice position sizing to withstand drawdowns, discipline to avoid reacting to spikes, and emotional control when the largest moves occur. This replay ultimately teaches that surviving volatility is a prerequisite for capturing trend—and that outcomes that appear obvious in hindsight were anything but at the time.
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