Palladium Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08
Replay palladium's 2018 turbulence across 128 daily bars, capturing a -8.4% slide from 980.1 to 898. Step into 22 decision points and receive an AI coach review of each historical call in a simulated environment.
128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 17.3% and a 15.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −17.3%
- Max run-up
- +15.6%
- Duration
- 183 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.1%
- Bars
- 128 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2018, palladium—a precious metal prized for its role in automotive catalytic converters—faced turbulent trading conditions that tested the resolve of every market participant. Between February 12 and August 14, 128 daily bars of authentic price action presented traders with a complex landscape of shifting sentiment and policy-driven volatility. The scenario places you at the heart of 22 decision points, 8 of them critical junctures where a single choice could mean the difference between protecting capital or absorbing significant losses.
The period delivered a -8.4% decline as palladium fell from 980.1 to 898, but the headline number obscures a more violent underlying story. A maximum drawdown of 17.3% tested downside endurance, while the largest single-bar move of 6.1% demonstrated how quickly gaps and reversals could derail poorly-positioned portfolios. This wasn't a steady drift lower but rather a series of sharp jolts that demanded continuous reassessment.
For decision training, this replay exposes the gap between knowing market mechanics and executing under pressure. The 22 decision points force you to confront the psychological temptation to average down, cut winners too early, or freeze when volatility spikes. The 17.3% peak-to-trough swing reminds us that drawdowns compound quietly before presenting themselves as obvious crises. Mastering palladium's 2018 turbulence means building the discipline to size positions for worst-case scenarios and the emotional resilience to stick with a process when every bar feels like a referendum on your judgment.