US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2021-06 to 2023-11
Replay the U.S. national Case-Shiller home-price index from June 2021 to November 2023 across 30 monthly bars, with the index climbing 19.5% before a 5.0% drawdown. Step through each historical bar, face six decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning, simulated capital only.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-06 to 2023-11 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.0% with a 19.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.0%
- Max run-up
- +19.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.7%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The U.S. national Case-Shiller home-price index provides a sweeping view of residential property values across the country. This replay covers 30 monthly bars from June 2021 to November 2023, a period when the housing market was navigating post-pandemic dynamics, shifting mortgage rates, and evolving buyer sentiment. The stakes were significant: participants had to make decisions about positioning while asset values were experiencing unusual momentum, with implications for portfolio allocation and risk exposure.
During this span, the index rose from 261.11 to 312.04, delivering a 19.5% gain. However, the journey was not monotonic—the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 5.0%, and the largest single monthly move reached 2.7%. These numbers reveal the non-linear character of even a generally rising market, challenging assumptions about steady appreciation and testing the ability to maintain discipline through temporary reversals.
This replay sharpens several decision-making skills. Facing six decision points—including two critical junctures—participants must calibrate position sizing, set clear exit criteria, and manage the psychological pressure of seeing gains erode during drawdowns. The 5.0% maximum pullback serves as a reminder that risk management cannot be suspended even in trending markets. By replaying historical bars and receiving AI coach review, learners develop the habit of grounding decisions in process rather than outcome, building resilience for future scenarios where market conditions shift without warning.
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