China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2021-02 to 2023-07
Replay China's national property index sliding from a close of 101.43 to 93.71, a 7.6% drawdown across 30 monthly bars. You step through every bar in this historical replay, face 6 decision points with an AI coach, and practice judgment using simulated capital.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-02 to 2023-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.6% with a 0.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.6%
- Max run-up
- +0.4%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.5%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Chinese national property climate index entered a demanding replay scenario spanning the early 2020s. Set against a backdrop of global monetary tightening beginning in early 2022, this historical episode captures the moment when property market optimism shifted and prices began their descent. Participants enter a 30-bar monthly timeline where every decision carries weight in understanding how systemic headwinds reshape a once-buoyant sector.
The replay tracks a sustained retreat from a close of 101.43 to 93.71, representing a cumulative drawdown of 7.6% across the 30-month window. The largest single monthly candle registered a 3.5% move, underscoring how even measured-looking monthly data can conceal sharp weekly or daily reversals. Six decision points punctuate this descent, with two deemed critical—moments where the trajectory could have diverged based on positioning choices, risk management, or macroeconomic reading.
This replay hones the ability to navigate gradual but persistent downturns, where no single dramatic crash occurs but cumulative pressure erodes confidence. Trainees practice holding discipline when every bar looks like a potential bottom, managing exposure across 30 iterations of "wait and see." The scenario teaches that in property markets, cycles turn slowly and then suddenly—a 7.6% drawdown is modest in isolation yet signals regime change requiring revised assumptions about leverage, liquidity, and sector allocation.
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