US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2010-10 to 2013-03
Replay 30 monthly bars of the U.S. national Case-Shiller index from October 2010 to March 2013, watching the close edge from 143.12 to 147.95. You navigate 6 decision points, including 2 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of each call in simulated, educational mode.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2010-10 to 2013-03 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.4% with a 10.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −6.4%
- Max run-up
- +10.4%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.9%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens in October 2010, deep in the aftermath of the most severe housing collapse since the Great Depression. The Case-Shiller national index hovers around 143.12, markets are jittery, and the recovery remains fragile. This scenario drops you into a market searching for a bottom—where every decision carries weight, but the signals are far from clear.
Over the 30 monthly bars that follow, the index edges upward to 147.95, delivering a modest 3.4% return. Yet this peaceful-looking trajectory hides a 6.4% peak-to-trough drawdown and intrabar swings as large as 1.9%. The math is unforgiving: patience without protection can erode even a winning direction. You must navigate six decision points, two of them critical inflection moments where the difference between a disciplined exit and a reactive hold shapes the entire outcome.
This period strips away the luxury of momentum. The real lesson is not about calling the bottom—it is about building a decision framework that survives when the market offers neither clear trends nor dramatic crashes. Managing downside during a 6.4% drawdown, sizing positions for a 1.9% intrabar shock, and staying process-driven when the index merely meanders become the skills that separate trained decision-makers from guessers. The housing recovery of the early 2010s is a classroom, not a fortune-teller.