US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 2007-04 to 2014-07
Replay the U.S. national housing collapse from April 2007 to July 2014, watching prices fall 10.0% across 30 months of authentic FHFA data. Step through each monthly decision point and get an AI coach review of your choices, simulated and educational.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2007-04 to 2014-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.9% with a 11.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.9%
- Max run-up
- +11.0%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The U.S. national housing market, measured by the FHFA index, entered one of its darkest chapters in April 2007. This replay covers 30 months of monthly data through July 2014, spanning the 2000s and 2010s decades. What was at stake was nothing less than the collapse of the largest repository of American household wealth, a crisis that would trigger the Global Financial Crisis and reshape the entire economic landscape for years to come.
The index opened at 380.07 and closed at 342.1, translating to a -10.0% loss over the full period. Yet the headline number masks a rougher journey: the maximum drawdown reached 18.9%, meaning anyone invested through the worst moments experienced losses nearly double the final tally. The largest single-bar move was 3.1%, yet these modest monthly snapshots concealed the daily turmoil that battered confidence. Across these 30 months, traders and investors faced 6 decision points, with 2 marked as critical inflection moments that could have dramatically altered outcomes.
This replay teaches that the most dangerous enemy in a prolonged collapse is complacency masquerading as patience. Headline losses often understate true volatility, and max drawdown figures reveal what investors actually felt rather than what final numbers suggest. The 3.1% largest monthly move demonstrates how even moderate-looking data points can represent turning points when accumulated. For decision training, the lesson is process over prediction: disciplined risk management, clear entry and exit criteria, and psychological resilience when facing drawdowns that test conviction. Simulating this era builds the emotional muscle needed to navigate future crises with steadier hands.