Soybean Historical Replay: 2025-02 to 2025-08
Replay 124 daily soybean bars from the 2025 trade-war escalation, when prices slid from 1030 to 1011.75 (-1.8%) with a 10.5% drawdown. Step through each session, make decisions at 21 branches, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning, simulated capital only.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2025-02 to 2025-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 180 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.5% and a 10.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.5%
- Max run-up
- +10.0%
- Duration
- 180 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.4%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The setting is the US soybean futures market during the trade-war escalation of early-to-mid 2025. Over 124 daily bars spanning from February 13 to August 12, participants faced a period where geopolitical tensions reshaped agricultural commodity flows. With 21 decision points embedded across the replay, including 7 critical junctures that demanded decisive action, this scenario puts traders in the shoes of those navigating one of the most uncertain stretches for grain markets in recent decades.
The price trajectory tells a story of resilience amid pressure. Soybeans opened at 1030 and closed at 1011.75, a net decline of just -1.8%. That modest headline figure, however, conceals a rougher ride: the maximum drawdown reached 10.5% and the largest single-bar move hit 3.4%, meaning participants who misjudged position size or failed to respect stops could have experienced far harsher outcomes than the final settlement suggests.
This replay is ultimately a test of process over prediction. Navigating a -1.8% outcome while avoiding the 10.5% drawdown requires disciplined risk management, clear-eyed volatility assessment, and emotional control when markets move against positions. The critical decision points force participants to confront the gap between knowing what should happen and managing what actually unfolds, making it a valuable training ground for anyone studying how geopolitical risk manifests in commodity markets.