Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2024-02 to 2024-05
Replay 62 daily bars of rough rice from February 7 to May 6, 2024, when commodity volatility delivered a 15.0% drawdown. Step through 11 decision points, including 4 critical moments, with simulated capital and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-02 to 2024-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.0% and a 19.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.0%
- Max run-up
- +19.4%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.4%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice is a cornerstone of global food commodity markets, and early 2024 brought commodity volatility across agricultural sectors. The replay spans 62 daily bars from February 7 to May 6, 2024, a period when Brazil's drought impacted coffee and sugar markets, creating cross-commodity dynamics. The 11 decision points—including 4 critical moments—test a trader's ability to navigate uncertainty with simulated capital.
The market delivered a net close of 18.49 to 18.41, a modest -0.4% move over the period. However, this flat headline figure obscures significant turbulence: the maximum drawdown reached 15.0%, while the largest single session moved 6.4%. This combination of limited net change with substantial intra-period volatility creates a demanding environment for position management.
This replay teaches that process discipline matters more than outcome prediction. The 15.0% drawdown tests risk management under sustained pressure, while the 6.4% single-bar move challenges stop-loss and position-sizing decisions. Traders must maintain psychological stability when a market appears quiet yet conceals sharp reversals—a critical skill for any commodity trader operating in the 2020s.
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