Wheat Historical Replay: 2021-04 to 2021-07
Replay 62 daily wheat bars from April to July 2021, watching a 20.5% drawdown test trader resolve across 11 decision points. Step through each historical session, weigh your calls, then receive an AI coach review of your simulated performance.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-04 to 2021-07 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.5% and a 23.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.5%
- Max run-up
- +23.2%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.5%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay drops you into Chinese grain markets during the spring and early summer of 2021, a period when global agricultural commodities were under intense scrutiny. Across 62 daily bars spanning April 9 to July 7, you confront a wheat market that will test your discipline as a 20.5% drawdown unfolds through 11 decision points, four of them critical junctures where directional conviction matters most. This is historical replay for the 2020s decade, built to stress-test how you behave when positions move against you.
The session opens near 638.75 and closes at 614.75, a net retreat of -3.8% over the full span. That headline figure conceals the turbulence beneath: the market swings through its largest single-bar move of 5.5%, creating sharp intraday reversals that punish indecision. The 20.5% maximum drawdown arrives not as a single catastrophic event but as a grinding erosion of capital that depletes confidence even as fundamentals may remain uncertain. Navigating these 11 checkpoints demands you reconcile price action with position management in real time.
For decision training, this replay isolates the gap between analysis and execution. A -3.8% outcome can look acceptable in hindsight, yet the psychological cost of enduring a 20.5% peak-to-trough decline while holding positions is where most traders falter. The 5.5% single-bar moves teach you to size positions so that volatility does not force premature exits. The critical decision points train you to act with conviction when signals align, rather than hesitating until drawdowns erode your capacity to act. Process discipline, risk calibration, and emotional resilience become the real metrics of performance in this grain market crucible.
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