Wheat Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2020-06
Replay 62 trading days of US wheat from March to June 2020 as pandemic shock tore through commodities. Step through the data day-by-day, face 11 decision points, and get an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-03 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 17.0% and a 5.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −17.0%
- Max run-up
- +5.4%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.7%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In March 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was destabilizing global markets, and US wheat was not immune to the turmoil. This commodity market, typically considered a stable anchor in the grains sector, faced unprecedented uncertainty as supply chains fractured and demand patterns shifted dramatically. The period from March to June 2020 represented a critical test of how agricultural commodities would weather a global health crisis that was reshaping every aspect of economic life.
The 62-day replay from 2020-03-24 to 2020-06-19 captures a market in distress. Wheat prices fell from 561.5 to 481.25, representing a decline of -14.3%, with a maximum drawdown of 17.0%. The largest single-bar move of 3.7% underscores the volatility that characterized each trading session. Throughout this period, traders confronted 11 decision points, with 4 emerging as critical inflection moments that demanded clear-headed judgment.
This historical replay teaches that process matters more than prediction when markets become irrational. The -14.3% decline and 17.0% drawdown illustrate how quickly capital can erode during a pandemic-driven selloff, while the 11 decision points create a structured environment for practicing disciplined risk management. Participants learn that psychological resilience—maintaining composure when prices swing 3.7% in a single session—is as vital as technical analysis. The scenario emphasizes that surviving extreme volatility requires a systematic approach, not reactive impulses, and that historical context provides the best foundation for building that system.
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