Soybean Historical Replay: 2020-08 to 2020-12
Replay 84 daily bars from Aug 31 to Dec 29, 2020, as soybean prices climbed 36.2% from 951.25 to 1295.5 during a pandemic-era grain market surge. Work through 15 decision points with day-by-day choices and receive an AI coach review in a fully simulated, educational training environment.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-08 to 2020-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 120 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.8% and a 36.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.8%
- Max run-up
- +36.2%
- Duration
- 120 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.2%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay transports participants to US soybean futures from August through December 2020, a period when the pandemic upended agricultural markets and supply chains worldwide. Grain traders faced a landscape defined by production uncertainties, shifting export flows, and heightened demand volatility. This historical snapshot captures the tension between documented fundamental pressures and the uncertainty that defined every trading day at the time.
Soybean prices climbed 36.2% from 951.25 to 1295.5 over 84 daily bars spanning August 31 to December 29, 2020. Yet the journey was far from linear—a maximum drawdown of 4.8% and a largest single-bar move of 3.2% punctuated the advance, reminding participants that trending markets still punish the unprepared. Fifteen decision points were embedded throughout, with five critical moments where directional conviction was tested against intraday reversals and momentum surges.
This replay sharpens decision-process skills rather than prediction abilities. The 15 decision points force participants to act without future knowledge, building discipline to follow a sound methodology through documented drawdowns. Managing risk through the 4.8% setback window cultivates emotional composure, while the 3.2% single-bar volatility reinforces that short-term price fluctuations are normal even in strongly trending markets. The educational takeaway centers on understanding how uncertainty, volatility, and incomplete information interact—and why process fidelity matters more than outcome hindsight.