Wheat Historical Replay: 2020-01 to 2020-06
Replay the early 2020 wheat market across 86 daily bars from January through June 2020, a span that absorbed an 8.4% close-to-close slide and a 14.3% drawdown. Walk through each trading day, face 15 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-01 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 124 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.3% and a 16.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.3%
- Max run-up
- +16.5%
- Duration
- 124 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.3%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The wheat market entered 2020 with the world on the cusp of a global health emergency. This replay covers 86 daily bars from January 29 through June 1, 2020, immersing participants in the early pandemic period when uncertainty was paramount and markets were reshaped by unprecedented forces. The scenario asks: how does a trader navigate an evolving crisis with no modern precedent?
Wheat prices declined 8.4% from 562.25 to 515.25 over the period, with the market experiencing a 14.3% maximum drawdown. A single session saw a 5.3% move, illustrating the kind of intraday violence that characterizes sudden risk events. Participants faced 15 decision points across the replay, with 5 designated as critical moments where directional conviction was most severely tested.
This scenario strips away hindsight to reveal the genuine difficulty of trading through a once-in-a-generation shock. Trainees learn to size positions against a real 14.3% drawdown environment, recognize when market structure is breaking, and separate headlines from actionable signals. The psychological dimension—staying composed when 5.3% can print in one session—proves as instructive as any technical framework, making this replay a rigorous test of both analytical process and emotional discipline.
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